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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% -
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shurna * 45 9-15 2-4 1-1 6 0 0 2 4 21 10 -
D. Crawford * 44 7-15 1-2 5-7 6 2 1 0 3 20 11 -
D. Sobolewski * 43 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 1 1 9 7 -
R. Hearn * 42 2-5 2-3 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 9 -
A. Marcotullio * 22 0-0 0-0 1-3 3 1 1 0 2 1 4 -
L. Mirkovic 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Curletti 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 4 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Burke * 45 5-17 1-6 8-8 7 7 0 1 1 19 16 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 45 7-13 5-9 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 19 10 -
E. Smotrycz * 28 1-7 0-3 3-4 5 0 1 2 0 5 6 -
J. Morgan * 28 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Z. Novak * 28 2-7 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
S. Douglass 38 3-10 0-6 4-4 1 2 2 0 2 10 3 -
M. Vogrich 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
B. McLimans 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter