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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 74.0% 26.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.3% 3.7% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 6-9 0-1 2-2 6 2 3 4 0 14 20 -
Marquis Teague * 35 4-11 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 3 12 5 -
Terrence Jones * 32 5-11 0-2 2-2 5 0 3 0 1 12 8 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 30 2-10 0-3 3-4 3 3 3 3 4 7 5 -
Darius Miller * 24 3-6 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
Doron Lamb 35 3-7 2-5 6-8 3 1 1 0 0 14 12 -
Kyle Wiltjer 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Eloy Vargas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rob Chubb * 35 5-10 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 1 4 14 10 -
Chris Denson * 33 5-11 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
Kenny Gabriel * 26 3-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 3 2 6 8 -
Varez Ward * 25 2-9 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 3 6 -1 -
Adrian Forbes * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
Frankie Sullivan 28 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 5 3 -
Josh Wallace 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
Josh Langford 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Noel Johnson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter