Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | -5.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (95-98). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 10-25 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 6 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Harden | 31 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 18 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 37 | 12-28 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 7 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chase Budinger | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jonny Flynn | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter