Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | +7.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +15 (92-77). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 31 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 26 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Gibson | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 21 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 21 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Mychel Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Harangody | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 36 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 34 | 11-16 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| James Johnson | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ed Davis | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter