Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | +13.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (93-103). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 24 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Craig Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 8-26 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 | - |
| James Harden * | 40 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eric Maynor | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lazar Hayward | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter