Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (33.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars +31 (90-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuric * | 39 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| C. Smith * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P. Siva * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Buckles | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Ware | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Nunez | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Justice | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Smith | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Henderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Henton * | 40 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 0 | - |
| V. Council * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| B. Cotton * | 39 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 10-12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - |
| K. Batts * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 28 | - |
| B. Kofane * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Dixon | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Giplaye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Goldsbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Carter | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter