Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | -10.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.7% | 5.3% | -15.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks -9 (61-70). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver McNally * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Laurent Rivard * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Brandyn Curry * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Keith Wright * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Kyle Casey * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Saunders | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Steve Moundou-Missi | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jonah Travis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Steele * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Austin Tillotson * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Nicholas * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Ware * | 24 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dion Nesmith * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mike Myers Keitt | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ed Waite | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Will Campbell | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Phil Wait | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
* = starter