Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (40.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (32.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +40 (104-64). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 28 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo * | 27 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O.J. Mayo | 27 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Josh Davis | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Josh Selby | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Sam Young | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Brewer * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Omer Asik | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| John Lucas III | 10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter