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2012-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 88.2% 11.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 75.0% 25.0% - โœ—
Margin 88.2% 11.8% -11.1 โœ— (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 72.9% 27.1% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Craft * 40 6-11 0-3 0-0 4 7 1 0 2 12 11 -
Jared Sullinger * 38 9-16 2-2 1-2 5 0 3 0 2 21 11 -
William Buford * 37 7-18 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 15 -2 -
Deshaun Thomas * 34 8-12 1-2 6-7 6 0 0 0 0 23 17 -
L. Smith Jr. * 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Sam Thompson 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.D. Weatherspoon 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Evan Ravenel 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 40 3-8 3-7 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 10 7 -
M. Leonard * 38 7-12 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 14 9 -
B. Paul * 36 11-15 8-10 13-15 8 2 2 4 7 43 37 -
J. Bertrand * 35 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 4 10 10 -
T. Abrams * 32 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 2 1 -
M. Henry 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
N. Egwu 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Griffey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter