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2012-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Log Adjusted 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sonnen * 35 5-9 5-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 15 13 -
A. James * 33 4-17 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 10 1 -
J. Moran * 33 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
J. Koch * 32 2-11 1-5 3-5 7 4 0 1 1 8 8 -
S. Tuttle * 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 0 0 5 9 -
C. Rank 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Morrison 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
D. Mitchell 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Pehl 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 38 7-15 0-2 0-1 8 4 0 0 3 14 8 -
G. Gibbs * 37 3-4 1-2 3-4 5 3 0 0 0 10 14 -
A. Young * 35 9-14 1-1 2-3 3 1 1 0 0 21 12 -
G. Echenique * 22 0-4 0-0 4-6 11 1 0 3 4 4 11 -
J. Manigat * 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
E. Wragge 20 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
J. Jones 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Chatman 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Dingman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter