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2012-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Scott * 38 4-12 0-2 4-4 5 3 0 0 2 12 6 -
K. Kadji * 33 7-11 1-3 1-3 2 0 0 1 4 16 4 -
R. Johnson * 30 6-10 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 12 10 -
M. Grant * 27 2-8 0-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
T. McKinney-Jones * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
S. Larkin 24 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 6 0 5 3 4 -
R. Brown 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
D. Jones 10 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
E. Swoope 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Akpejiori 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendall Marshall * 32 5-7 0-2 2-2 2 8 2 0 4 12 13 -
John Henson * 31 5-13 0-0 1-2 14 1 2 0 0 11 15 -
Dexter Strickland * 26 7-9 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 14 13 -
Tyler Zeller * 25 6-11 0-0 4-4 10 1 1 1 3 16 15 -
Harrison Barnes * 24 2-12 0-5 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 6 -1 -
Reggie Bullock 18 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
P.J. Hairston 15 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 -1 -
J. McAdoo 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Justin Watts 6 1-2 0-0 0-3 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Desmond Hubert 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Stilman White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jackson Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
David Dupont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Crouch 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Stewart Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter