Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +34 (95-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marble * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Matt Gatens * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Eric May * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aaron White | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Devon Archie | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Stubbs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Travis Trice | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Ianni | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Sweeny | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter