Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (27.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +34 (95-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marble * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Gatens * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Basabe * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Z. McCabe * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| E. May * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. White | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| B. Cartwright | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Oglesby | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| A. Brommer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Olaseni | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Archie | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Stubbs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 29 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| K. Appling * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Wood * | 21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Payne * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Nix | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Trice II | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Thornton | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Kearney | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Gauna | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Ianni | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Wetzel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sweeny | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Chapman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Wollenman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter