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2012-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Savannah State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“

Actual: Savannah State Tigers +2 (57-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeWayne Jackson * 37 8-11 4-6 3-3 5 1 0 0 4 23 14 -
Kevin Thompson * 34 4-5 0-0 2-4 9 0 2 2 8 10 10 -
Larry Bastfield * 33 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 4 0 1 -
Ameer Ali * 26 3-9 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 6 1 -
Ian Chiles * 19 5-7 0-0 2-5 5 0 0 3 1 12 12 -
Blake Bozeman 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 4 -
Aric Brooks 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 -
Shaquille Duncan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Thair Heath 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Blackman * 33 5-11 2-6 0-0 0 8 2 0 3 12 8 -
Deric Rudolph * 31 4-14 4-13 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 12 0 -
Rashad Hassan * 29 6-12 0-1 3-6 4 2 1 1 2 15 9 -
Cedric Smith * 29 3-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 2 0 0 6 10 -
Jyles Smith * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 2 6 -
Arnold Louis 27 2-7 0-0 1-4 7 3 0 0 3 5 5 -
Keierre Richards 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Conner 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
Joshua Montgomery 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Hendley 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Stephen Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter