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2012-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% +5.4 โœ— (6.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 โœ— (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 15.9% 84.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 10.4% 89.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -1 (71-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Dorsett 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 13 15 -
Quincy Roberts 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 26 29 -
Xavier Rogers 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 17 21 -
Rondale Livas 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
P. Roberson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 8 14 -
David Copeland 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 -
Bryant Purvis 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Steven Danridge 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavian Rimmer 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 9 7 -
Kendrick McDonald 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 22 27 -
Twann Oakley 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 14 15 -
Ian Francis 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 10 19 -
Chris Brand 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 12 18 -
KeDorian Sullivan 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 9 -
Michael Starks 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
JaMichael Hawkins 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Jarvis Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter