Model Predictions
| Model | Hampton Pirates | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +7 (74-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Hampton Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Pellum * | 30 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jasper Williams * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Danny Agbelese * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Orin O'Bryant * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wesley Dunning | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mike Tuitt | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Christopher Tolson | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| David Bruce | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Austin | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Andrey Semenov * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| H. Hitchens * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Devon Moore * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Enoch Hood * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Arman Marks | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Gene Swindle | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alioune Diouf | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter