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2012-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Black * 37 4-13 3-7 3-5 4 2 1 0 1 14 7 -
Logan Aronhalt * 37 6-16 2-10 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 18 8 -
Gerardo Suero * 35 11-23 3-5 3-4 4 5 2 1 4 28 13 -
Luke Devlin * 30 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Blake Metcalf * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
John Puk 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Jayson Guerrier 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ralph Watts 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tanner Gibson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tommy Brenton * 34 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 7 1 1 1 6 15 -
Al Rapier * 32 3-8 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
Bryan Dougher * 30 7-13 5-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 19 5 -
Dallis Joyner * 29 6-7 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 2 15 18 -
Dave Coley * 24 3-8 0-0 2-4 3 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
Leonard Hayes 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Danny Carter 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Marcus Rouse 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
Anthony Jackson 9 4-4 3-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 9 -

* = starter