Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Barbour * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Meiko Lyles * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Alex Rosenberg * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mark Cisco * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| John Daniels * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Noah Springwater | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cory Osetkowski | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dean Kowalski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Blaise Staab | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hamilton * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Sebastian Koch * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Lucas Troutman * | 30 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Drew Spradlin * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ryley Beaumont * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jack Isenbarger | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Roger Dugas | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brett Ervin | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Egheosa Edomwonyi | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Blake | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter