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2012-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.8% 30.2% -
Log Adjusted 70.0% 30.0% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +18 (59-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 39 5-15 2-7 0-0 0 1 3 0 3 12 -2 -
J. Gasser * 35 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
R. Evans * 29 3-9 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
M. Bruesewitz * 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 6 5 -
J. Berggren * 22 1-6 0-1 1-1 5 0 1 1 3 3 1 -
B. Brust 25 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
R. Wilson 12 0-4 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -2 -
T. Jackson 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
F. Kaminsky 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Burke * 37 6-15 0-1 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 14 2 -
Z. Novak * 35 5-10 0-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 12 5 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 35 4-10 2-3 7-8 10 2 0 0 0 17 19 -
E. Smotrycz * 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
J. Morgan * 19 2-4 0-0 0-1 11 0 1 0 3 4 9 -
S. Douglass 30 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 5 0 0 5 9 -
B. McLimans 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Vogrich 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Brundidge 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Akunne 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Person 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Christian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter