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2012-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% -2.9 โœ— (20.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Margin 59.7% 40.3% -2.2 โœ— (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.2% 18.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% - โœ—

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +18 (59-41). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Taylor * 39 5-15 2-7 0-0 0 1 3 0 3 12 -2 -
Josh Gasser * 35 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
Ryan Evans * 29 3-9 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
Mike Bruesewitz * 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 6 5 -
Jared Berggren * 22 1-6 0-1 1-1 5 0 1 1 3 3 1 -
Ben Brust 25 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Rob Wilson 12 0-4 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -2 -
Traevon Jackson 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Frank Kaminsky 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 37 6-15 0-1 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 14 2 -
Zack Novak * 35 5-10 0-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 12 5 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 35 4-10 2-3 7-8 10 2 0 0 0 17 19 -
Evan Smotrycz * 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
Jordan Morgan * 19 2-4 0-0 0-1 11 0 1 0 3 4 9 -
Stu Douglass 30 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 5 0 0 5 9 -
Blake McLimans 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Vogrich 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Carlton Brundidge 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Eso Akunne 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Corey Person 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Colton Christian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter