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Western Illinois Leathernecks 75
@
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 65
2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Western Illinois Leathernecks Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - ✗
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 ✗ (15.8 off)
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% - ✓

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Clark III 38 7-11 2-3 2-5 4 5 3 0 2 18 17 -
T. Tyler 37 1-1 0-0 1-4 3 2 1 0 3 3 5 -
O. Emegano 35 3-10 0-0 9-10 3 1 2 0 3 15 8 -
J. Houpt 33 7-11 7-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 21 13 -
T. Parks 27 6-12 0-0 3-5 8 1 1 2 2 15 13 -
Jalen Packer 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 4 0 0 0 5 -
J. McDonald 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Gebru 7 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. McAvoy III 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Gaines 34 10-17 4-7 6-8 6 1 1 0 3 30 18 -
A. Boyd 34 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 4 -1 -
J. Jordan 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 2 3 -
D. Hines 22 3-5 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 3 2 9 9 -
J. Peckinpaugh 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Marlin 21 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Smeathers 15 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
M. Kibiloski 15 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
I. McCray 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Edwards 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter