๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles Tulane Green Wave Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.4% 21.6% - โœ“
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.6% 18.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“

Actual: Tulane Green Wave -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaShay Page * 41 0-8 0-6 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Torye Pelham * 30 2-5 0-0 7-8 4 0 1 0 1 11 10 -
Angelo Johnson * 29 2-8 2-3 2-2 3 2 2 1 3 8 5 -
Maurice Bolden * 28 5-12 2-4 3-4 2 2 0 3 1 15 9 -
Rashard McGill * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Neil Watson 36 4-10 2-3 6-6 2 5 1 0 2 16 12 -
Jonathan Mills 21 1-3 0-0 4-8 7 1 0 0 2 6 9 -
Cedric Jenkins 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
Darnell Dodson 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -

Tulane Green Wave

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davis * 40 2-7 0-1 2-4 8 2 2 3 3 6 11 -
R. Tarrant Jr. * 37 5-10 1-3 5-5 5 1 2 0 1 16 13 -
J. Callahan * 34 5-15 2-6 5-6 2 3 2 0 5 17 4 -
K. Timmons * 18 4-8 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
K. Thomas * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Drye 35 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 6 11 -
T. Rogers 32 2-3 2-2 2-6 2 2 0 1 3 8 7 -
M. Ziegenhagen 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Nwogbo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
B. Cherry 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter