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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 โœ“ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 89.1% 10.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.6% 3.4% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quincy Acy * 36 2-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 2 0 6 9 -
Brady Heslip * 32 5-7 4-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
Quincy Miller * 29 3-7 0-2 9-11 9 0 0 0 5 15 12 -
Perry Jones * 29 4-8 0-0 1-6 6 1 1 3 3 9 9 -
A.J. Walton * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
Pierre Jackson 36 6-12 1-2 6-7 6 7 3 0 2 19 21 -
Gary Franklin 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
Anthony Jones 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Cory Jefferson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Lewandowski * 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 8 -1 -
Biggie Minnis * 31 2-7 0-0 3-6 1 5 2 0 2 7 6 -
Jaye Crockett * 23 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 11 5 -
Jordan Tolbert * 17 1-2 0-0 7-10 4 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
Terran Petteway * 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Javarez Willis 37 4-10 3-8 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 13 8 -
Ty Nurse 35 2-4 2-4 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 10 10 -
Jaron Nash 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Kevin Wagner 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter