Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +15 (83-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowman * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Jones * | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Rios * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8 | - |
| R. Koenen * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Hinton * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| V. Jones | 26 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Ybarra | 20 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Brown | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Ball | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| W. Davis | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Staff | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Kirschke | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| X. Dade | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bachus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Davis * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| W. Mosley * | 28 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 27 | - |
| L. Ellis * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| G. Roberson * | 20 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Robinson * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Hulbin | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Jacobs | 19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| G. Stewart | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Brisco | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| O.J. Evans | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Washington | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Frazier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter