Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 38 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Denver Holmes * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Harris * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Troy Taylor * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Sawvell * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ned Cox | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rokas Cesnulevicius | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Nelson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jaylon Moore | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 23 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darious Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter