Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihad Ali * | 40 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Eric Buckner * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| James Fields * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Josh Micheaux * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Devonta White * | 31 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Tony Kimbro | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| James Vincent | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon McGee | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rashaad Richardson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vaughns * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Morrison * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| R. Pearson * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Allen * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Wright * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Cornelius | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Copes | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Edwards | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
| V. Gray | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter