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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -15 (68-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Koch * 32 2-6 1-3 13-14 8 2 2 1 1 18 24 -
J. Moran * 31 4-5 2-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 11 8 -
A. James * 25 9-15 0-0 8-12 5 1 1 0 1 26 17 -
M. Sonnen * 24 5-7 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 11 9 -
S. Tuttle * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 0 1 -
M. Morrison 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Rank 17 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
D. Mitchell 16 2-4 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 4 8 4 -
A. Pehl 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Martino 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice * 35 8-17 2-7 9-12 3 1 2 0 3 27 13 -
B. Simons * 31 5-10 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 6 -
J. Clarke * 31 2-5 0-0 1-2 11 0 2 2 1 5 14 -
K. Madison * 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 5 5 -1 -
J. Jeffers * 19 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
A. Hawley 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
K. Alexander 16 2-6 0-1 6-6 1 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
D. Smith 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Woods 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter