Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Williams * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Jones * | 27 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| B. Walton * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| R. Franklin * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Williams | 29 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| N. Stojiljkovic | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Norris | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Edwards | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Finn * | 38 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Hooten * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| M. Kirkland * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| E. Townsel * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Griswold | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Ogbonnaya-Branch | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Zuppardo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter