Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +2 (40-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Penn * | 37 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kore White * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Greg Gantt * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Raymond Taylor * | 30 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Shavar Richardson * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alex Tucker | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dennis Mavin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pablo Bertone | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McCoy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Mattison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Omari Grier | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Williams * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Jackson * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Taggart Lockhart * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Javes * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Guy * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Eric Lawton | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tramar Sutherland | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ben Dillard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Fondren | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter