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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jenirro Bush 37 4-7 2-2 4-6 4 2 2 0 1 14 14 -
Kelsey Howard 29 2-9 0-4 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 5 -1 -
Keeslee Stewart 24 3-8 1-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
Sydney Coleman 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Derrell Taylor 20 2-2 0-0 4-5 5 1 1 0 2 8 11 -
Willie Readus 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 2 3 -
Jonathan Lewis 19 0-2 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Christian Williams 18 6-7 2-2 4-4 3 4 2 0 1 18 19 -
Davon Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Raymond Gregory 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Josh Armstrong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Francis 33 4-6 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 0 1 9 9 -
Twann Oakley 32 5-11 4-8 3-5 2 1 0 0 1 17 8 -
Kendrick McDonald 28 2-4 0-0 4-6 5 2 2 0 0 8 13 -
Xavian Rimmer 26 2-9 0-0 8-9 2 1 1 0 2 12 5 -
KeDorian Sullivan 25 3-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
Jarvis Moore 21 2-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 4 2 -
JaMichael Hawkins 18 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -1 -
Michael Starks 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 -
Chris Brand 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter