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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Alabama A&M Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Savalance Townsend 40 4-10 1-2 4-9 5 1 2 0 4 13 7 -
Lazabian Jackson 36 8-14 2-4 2-4 4 2 3 0 2 20 13 -
Mitchell Anderson 28 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
Daniel Broughton 20 2-8 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 0 3 8 -2 -
Clay Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
Rontrell Bailey 20 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 1 12 11 -
Kyle Jones 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 3 -
Jamar Harris 9 1-1 0-0 0-3 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Jaylon Floyd 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Austin Allen 5 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Derrius Nelson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Casey Cantey 38 7-11 2-3 4-7 6 2 2 1 4 20 16 -
Jeremy Crutcher 36 2-9 2-4 3-4 5 5 2 0 2 9 10 -
Demarquelle Tabb 33 2-4 0-0 4-7 8 1 1 3 3 8 14 -
Jerome Hunter 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Marcus Lee 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Green Hill 14 4-4 0-0 5-7 0 1 1 0 2 13 9 -
Reginald Martin 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Diamon Alexander 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jeremy Ingram 8 1-3 1-2 1-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Brandon Ellis 8 3-4 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
Jose Long 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Justin Banks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter