Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 40 | 10-19 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| D. Hunt * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| O. Czyz * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Story * | 21 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Burris | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Panzer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Elliott | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Grim * | 40 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Preston Medlin * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brockeith Pane * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Danny Berger * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kyisean Reed * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Ben Clifford | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mitch Bruneel | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E.J. Farris | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter