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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (17.4 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Maine Black Bears +19 (89-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lane * 28 2-2 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 6 5 -
R. Cook * 27 6-14 1-4 2-4 8 2 0 0 1 15 10 -
C. Plummer * 27 6-17 2-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 4 17 0 -
J. Wasco * 25 0-3 0-0 3-4 4 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
B. Neller * 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
Q. Jones 22 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 1 2 -
C. Thomas 13 5-9 0-1 4-4 5 0 1 0 0 14 11 -
J. Wertz 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Satchell 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Basalyga 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Wejnert 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Wise 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fraser * 36 7-13 0-0 2-3 11 1 1 1 3 16 14 -
G. McLemore * 35 9-15 4-8 7-7 2 0 0 0 2 29 14 -
A. Rogers * 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 7 1 0 1 0 6 -
J. Edwards * 24 2-8 0-2 7-8 3 3 1 1 1 11 10 -
M. Allison * 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
R. Singleton 23 5-8 2-3 5-5 3 4 2 0 1 17 17 -
K. Cato 17 1-2 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
J. McAllian 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
X. Pollard 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
Z. Valjarevic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Wilcher 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter