Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | -3.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daman Starring * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chris McNealy * | 35 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Derick Flowers * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mike Wilder * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Adam Folker * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Collin Woods | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Will Davis | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mike Best | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Travis Souza | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Bradley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Howley * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Harrison DuPont | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Adam Malik | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Tyler Les | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter