Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bizoukas * | 38 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Downing | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Corbin Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dwayne Lathan * | 35 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Carl Richard * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Printy * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Myles Walker * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Steve McWhorter | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Koang Doluony | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Lucas Eitel | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter