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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Milwaukee Panthers Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Panthers +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alec Brown * 35 3-9 0-0 2-2 12 3 2 5 2 8 19 -
Keifer Sykes * 33 10-18 0-1 0-1 2 3 3 0 2 20 8 -
Brennan Cougill * 31 5-7 1-1 1-1 7 0 1 1 3 12 11 -
Ken Cerroni * 30 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 7 -
Steve Baker * 26 3-8 0-2 1-1 6 1 0 1 3 7 4 -
Aaron Armstead 15 1-7 0-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -5 -
Terry Johnson 14 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 0 0 5 4 -
Greg Mays 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Clayton Heuer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
Josh Humphrey 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Milwaukee Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paris Gulley * 36 4-10 2-5 8-8 4 4 1 0 0 18 17 -
Kaylon Williams * 35 5-12 1-4 2-5 4 7 3 0 7 13 8 -
Ryan Allen * 34 5-8 0-0 0-2 12 1 0 1 2 10 14 -
James Haarsma * 30 7-11 0-1 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 14 10 -
Kyle Kelm * 23 2-7 0-1 0-1 4 1 1 1 2 4 2 -
Tony Meier 24 1-5 0-2 1-3 7 0 1 0 3 3 3 -
Evan Richard 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Christian Wolf 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Shaquille Boga 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Mitch Roelke 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Demetrius Harris 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter