๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lawrence Alexander 44 4-9 0-3 4-10 6 4 0 0 7 12 6 -
Taylor Braun 38 8-12 1-2 12-14 11 5 0 0 4 29 29 -
Marshall Bjorklund 33 6-10 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 0 13 7 -
TrayVonn Wright 33 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 2 1 6 8 -
Dylan Hale 25 2-10 2-4 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 7 1 -
Mike Felt 19 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Joel Lindberg 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Jordan Aaberg 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Eric Carlson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Lundberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jones, Jr. 42 5-9 0-2 5-10 1 4 4 0 2 15 13 -
R. Taylor 41 5-13 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 3 3 12 7 -
D. Heuir 35 5-10 2-3 0-0 9 5 1 0 1 12 16 -
J. Stevenett 32 4-10 0-0 3-3 3 2 1 0 2 11 5 -
W. Collie 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
M. Massey 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
J. Jeffery 15 0-1 0-0 0-3 1 1 1 2 0 0 4 -
J. Johnson 10 1-1 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Koehler 7 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Scott 6 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Nsenki 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter