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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% -
Bradley-Terry 1.5% 98.5% -
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +25 (81-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 27 2-6 1-5 2-2 0 2 3 0 1 7 5 -
A. Caloiaro * 26 2-8 1-5 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 2 -
M. Williams * 25 3-12 2-8 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 10 -1 -
P. Blackwell * 24 2-5 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 0 0 6 11 -
R. Green * 15 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 4 -1 -
D. O'Connor 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
C. Dickerson 17 3-5 0-1 2-5 4 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
G. Hoffmann 10 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Johnson 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 4 -
J. Wey 8 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
K. Murphy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Raffington 6 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Adams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Carlino * 31 4-6 2-3 2-2 1 4 2 0 2 12 11 -
N. Hartsock * 30 5-9 0-1 4-4 6 2 0 1 2 14 12 -
C. Abouo * 26 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 7 2 0 0 2 8 -
B. Zylstra * 25 8-8 6-6 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 22 21 -
B. Davies * 22 5-9 0-0 2-4 6 6 1 2 2 12 16 -
N. Austin 16 2-4 0-1 0-2 9 1 0 1 0 4 11 -
J. Sharp 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -
C. Cusick 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Harrison 9 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
A. Winder 9 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
S. Rogers 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
N. Martineau 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter