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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 5.6% 94.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.0% 84.0% - โœ“
Margin 4.7% 95.3% +16.5 โœ“ (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +30 (65-35). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Varez Ward * 30 2-7 1-4 1-4 1 2 0 0 2 6 0 -
Chris Denson * 28 3-10 1-2 0-1 3 1 1 0 0 7 2 -
Rob Chubb * 25 1-10 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 2 1 -
Kenny Gabriel * 24 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -
Frankie Sullivan * 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Josh Wallace 19 2-4 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 2 3 4 0 -
Allen Payne 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
Adrian Forbes 13 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Willy Kouassi 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Noel Johnson 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Josh Langford 7 2-2 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Jenkins * 30 6-9 5-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 17 11 -
Lance Goulbourne * 29 1-3 1-3 0-2 5 1 3 2 0 3 11 -
Jeffery Taylor * 28 5-11 3-5 3-4 5 1 2 0 3 16 10 -
Brad Tinsley * 25 5-8 2-5 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 12 13 -
Festus Ezeli * 16 1-4 0-0 2-4 8 0 1 2 1 4 10 -
Steve Tchiengang 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
D. Parker 16 2-4 2-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Rod Odom 16 1-4 0-1 3-5 6 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Kedren Johnson 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 -
Kyle Fuller 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
James Siakam 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jordan Smart 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter