Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +23 (83-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Lonnie Jackson * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Heckmann * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Dennis Clifford * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Daniels * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gabriel Moton | 30 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Matt Humphrey | 26 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Caudill | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Cahill | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Odio | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Cain Carney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Kilcullen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| John Henson * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Justin Watts | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stilman White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Dupont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter