Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +4 (63-59). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Shepp * | 38 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Brown * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Wills * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. McGaughey | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Foster | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Madison * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Deremy Geiger * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Landon Tatum * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Djim Bandoumel * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Barone * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mansa Habeeb | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Connor Hill | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Joe Kammerer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike McChristian | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter