Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Lloyd | 37 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tevin Svihovec | 35 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tate Unruh | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Connor Osborne | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mike Proctor | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tim Huskisson | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Hawk-Harris | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Eberhard | 37 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Garrity | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| John Dickson | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Heath Hoffman | 25 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Josh McCarver | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jackson Carbajal | 18 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Konner Veteto | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Julian Demalleville | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kendall Groom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter