Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | -2.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +10 (98-88). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-6 | 9-13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Deville Smith | 18 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 10-11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sanchez * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mardracus Wade * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| BJ Young * | 23 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Rickey Scott Jr. * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Devonta Abron * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Julysses Nobles | 35 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Rashad Madden | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Marvell Waithe | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Hunter Mickelson | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kikko Haydar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter