Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | -0.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +5 (72-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyonell Gaines * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alex Young * | 35 | 9-24 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Thomas * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ian Chiles * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Mitch Patton * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Marcellus Barksdale | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Christian Siakam | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Shanklin | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Donovan Gibbs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sean Esposito | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Gaines * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Antwaun Boyd * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| John Peckinpaugh * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Jonny Marlin * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Trey McCorkle * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Demario Hines | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Justin Jordan | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Michael Kibiloski | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah McCray | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter