Model Predictions
| Model | Radford Highlanders | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | +9.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +16 (70-54). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Price * | 32 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Tolga Cerrah * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jareal Smith * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Mitchell | 26 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Noreen | 20 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chance Smith | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Blake Smith | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lukas Winegarner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Allen Dickerson | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Devin Cole | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Carethers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Middleton * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| George Valentine * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Andre Jones * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| James Bourne * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Henry * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joab Jerome | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Matt Morgan | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Gideon Gamble | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Andre Smith | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Larry Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shola Diop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter