Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (26.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (25.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers +34 (73-39). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Doggett | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jameel Grace | 32 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Derick Beltran | 28 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Fredrick Coleman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Michael Celestin | 23 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Monroe | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Madut Bol | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Russell Hill | 12 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Neal Webb | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Thomas Marshall | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 26 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Omar Strong | 21 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| DaQuan Joyner | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Dexter Ellington | 19 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Daniel King | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D'Angelo Scott | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Onwenu | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jabari Peters | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Timothy Price | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter