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Cal State Fullerton Titans 64
@
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 77
2012-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - ✓
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% - ✓

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kwame Vaughn * 38 5-13 1-4 1-2 2 5 3 0 3 12 6 -
D.J. Seeley * 38 5-17 1-7 4-4 10 1 0 0 2 15 7 -
Isiah Umipig * 34 6-13 4-10 2-4 4 3 0 0 1 18 11 -
Omondi Amoke * 30 2-9 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 1 3 4 2 -
Orane Chin * 23 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 7 6 -
Andre Hardy 27 3-9 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
Perry Webster 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Orlando Johnson * 35 5-18 3-7 10-11 6 4 2 2 4 23 15 -
James Nunnally * 34 7-12 3-6 1-1 8 3 1 0 2 18 16 -
Kyle Boswell * 29 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 7 3 -
Jaime Serna * 21 3-4 0-0 2-6 8 0 1 0 0 8 13 -
Alan Williams * 17 2-5 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
Keegan Hornbuckle 19 3-4 1-1 2-3 5 1 1 2 2 9 12 -
Nate Garth 16 1-2 0-0 2-5 2 5 1 0 0 4 10 -
Greg Somogyi 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 2 3 -
Christian Peterson 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Lewis Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter