Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Martin * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| B.J. Shearry * | 30 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Robert Smith * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Austin Quick | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| John Gilliam | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| David Chavarria | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Howley * | 36 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tyler Les | 26 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Adam Malik | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter