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Cal Poly Mustangs 50
@
Long Beach State Beach 55
2012-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% - ✓
Margin 8.8% 91.2% +12.9 ✓ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% - ✓

Actual: Long Beach State Beach +5 (55-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amaurys Fermin * 34 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 9 1 -
Will Taylor * 30 7-10 0-1 2-2 9 1 2 0 1 16 17 -
David Hanson * 29 5-8 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 11 6 -
Drake U'u * 24 2-6 0-1 0-4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
Dylan Royer * 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jamal Johnson 19 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Matt Titchenal 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chris Eversley 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
Will Donahue 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Maliik Love 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Kyle Odister 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Robinson * 39 4-9 0-0 5-6 14 0 1 0 2 13 17 -
C. Ware * 36 5-14 2-6 5-7 1 2 0 0 0 17 6 -
L. Anderson * 36 3-7 0-1 2-6 4 1 3 0 2 8 7 -
J. Ennis III * 30 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 -
E. Phelps * 28 3-5 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 2 8 4 -
M. Caffey 29 2-2 1-1 2-3 4 6 3 0 2 7 16 -
N. Shepherd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter