Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Furman Paladins +32 (77-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Moore * | 37 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Cosmo Morabbi * | 36 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Mike Groselle * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| DeVontae Wright * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Bray * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Bo Holston | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Marshall Harris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lawrence Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jordan Robertson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Horgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brown * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Irwin * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Reddick * | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Sebirumbi * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Barnes * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Austin | 20 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| C. Reddick | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Early | 17 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Loyd | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Toler | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. O'Neill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Hunt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter