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2012-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.9 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 38 4-15 2-5 0-3 7 8 1 0 4 10 7 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 37 7-19 0-7 5-6 4 2 3 0 3 19 6 -
Jordan Morgan * 34 6-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 12 15 -
Evan Smotrycz * 25 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
Zack Novak * 24 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
Stu Douglass 30 3-5 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 1 1 11 11 -
Blake McLimans 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Matt Vogrich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Etherington 0 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Verdell Jones * 34 3-6 0-0 2-4 2 6 1 0 4 8 7 -
Christian Watford * 33 8-11 3-4 6-8 7 4 0 0 3 25 22 -
Cody Zeller * 32 8-10 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 3 18 11 -
Jordan Hulls * 29 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
Victor Oladipo * 24 2-10 0-3 1-2 4 2 2 2 2 5 3 -
Derek Elston 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
Matt Roth 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
Tom Pritchard 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 1 5 -
Remy Abell 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter